房市恐慌期間 內湖建案同樓層晚3年買省近千萬
2018/4/15
<p class="MsoNormal"><a name="OLE_LINK1"></a><span style="font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">自由時報【徐義平】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">前波房市恐慌期，房價跌幅真嚇人。根據內政部實價網最新揭露資訊，北市內湖區成功路四段某建案，同樣是</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">14</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">樓的預售屋合約，</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2013</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年簽訂那戶總價</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">6130</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元、</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2016</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年簽訂那戶總價</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">5236</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，竟然出現晚三年買，房價直接打</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">78</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">折，相當於省下近</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">900</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元、約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">894</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬的購屋價款。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">該案是去年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">9</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">月興建完成，進一步統計該建案實價資訊，目前累計揭露</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">14</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">筆，其中高達</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">12</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">筆的預售簽約時間落在</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2012~2013</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年，每坪實價</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">79.2~92</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，以頂樓</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">15</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">樓其中一戶房價最高，每坪約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">92</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，頂樓其餘</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">戶，每坪實價</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">87.7~91.5</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，若考量面向或是其它異質條件，價差均在</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">5%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">內。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">不過，該建案</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">14</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">樓總共揭露</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">戶實價資訊，卻有著超過</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">成的價格差距，總價落差近千萬元，仔細查詢備註欄註記，</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">14</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">樓其中一戶是再</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2013</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">月簽定預售契約，總價</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">6130</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，坪數約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">87.21</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">坪（含</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">車位、約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">22.16</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">坪），拆算每坪單價約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">86.94</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，另外一戶則是</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2016</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">月簽定預售合約，總價</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">5236</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，坪數約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">93.51</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">坪（含</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">車位、約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">22.16</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">坪），拆算每坪單價約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">67.28</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，相較前戶單價，便宜約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">22.61%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">，相當於晚三年買進，房價直接打</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">78</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">折。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">《住展》雜誌企研室經理何世昌表示，</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2015~2016</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年間是這波房市修正波中的恐慌期，急著出場的建商與投資客降價空間都很大，降價幅度從</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">10~30%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">不等；換個層面說，卻是買方撿便宜的好時間，如果遇到投資客急售，通常能談到好價格。不過，今年來市場恐慌氣氛已經減弱，雖然房市盤整修期仍未結束，但賣方價格變硬，要遇到低價急售的機率已經相對低，議價空間恐怕沒有過去二年來得大。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">房市急跌期已過</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #002060;"> </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">目前議價空間縮小</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">瑞普萊坊市場研究部總監黃舒衛表示，該案是</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2013</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">329</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">檔期開始推案，市場景氣正旺，再加上有捷運內湖站、</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">AIT</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">特區豪宅建案助攻，區域預售價格最熱，品牌建商加上高檔裝修訴求，開價挑戰百萬。但隔年台北市調高建物標準單價，又有囤房稅上路，不但未來的房屋稅暴增，就連要交屋的契稅也翻倍大漲，讓高級住宅投資客不堪負荷，紛紛出現降價求售的現象。而區位、品牌較弱，或投資買盤較多的社區，未蒙豪宅加持，自住底氣又不足，屋主斷尾求生意志最強，殺盤最猛。但現在市場持穩向上，過去美好的買方市場破盤價已難再現。</span></p>
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