建商搶地是假象? 首季全國土地交易減少三成
2018/6/4
<p class="MsoNormal"><a name="OLE_LINK1"></a><span style="font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">經濟日報【游智文】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">近期政府土地標售夯,各地都出現建商搶標土地的現象,但統計實價登錄資料,今年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季全國土地交易件數較去年同期減少</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">27%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">,總成交金額</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1098</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">億,也較去年大減</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">33%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">此一結果令人意外,屋比趨勢研究中心總監陳傑鳴分析,今年房市買氣持續回升,包含土銀、合庫、台銀等銀行看好後市,紛紛擴大土建融貸款承做量能,這些利多訊息確實使建商開始敢進場買地推案。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">但從今年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季的土地交易量,不管是件數或交易總額都較去年同期減少來看,現階段建商買地仍小心謹慎,只挑熱門土地,對於開價過高,或沒有題材的土地,仍持續保持觀望。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">根據屋比房屋比價平台統計,今年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季全國土地共交易</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1.17</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬件,較去年同期減少</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">4337</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">件、</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">27%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">六都除了北市首季交易</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">286</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">件,小增</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">3%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">外,其餘都明顯減少。台中市去年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1900</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">多件,今年僅</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">900</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">多件,大減</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">51%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">最多,新北、桃園也都減少三成以上。六都整體土地件數年減</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2600</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">多件,減幅逾三成。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">交易金額方面,高雄、台中都腰斬,高雄去年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季交易</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">169</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">億,今年僅</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">80</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">億,減少</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">52%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">最多。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">陳傑鳴表示,實價資料顯示,今年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季六都土地交易集中在低價及具建設題材區域,以今年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">Q1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">土地交易金額最高的新北市來說,交易即集中在新店央北重劃區,以及泰山捷運丹鳳站周邊。</span></p>
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