<p class="MsoNormal"><a name="OLE_LINK1"></a><span style="font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">蘋果日報【黃敬涵】</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">儘管房市交易量有所提升，但從數據來看，</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2018</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季平均房價，與歷史高點價格相比，開始下跌，不過今年上半年房價已無明顯波動，各區域新案的均價近年來也都是處於略微修正的狀態，對於房價還會不會再下跌，專家認為，現在還未到觸底的時候。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">以</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2018</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季房價分析，永慶房產集團業管部資深經理謝志傑表示，</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2018</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季房價與第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季房價相比，季增率都有微幅成長，台北市季增率有</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1.9%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">，新北為</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2.3%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">、桃園</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">0.6%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">、新竹</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2.3%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">。但若跟歷史高點價格相比，則都呈現下修，台北跌幅</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">13.1%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">、新北跌幅</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">11.6%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">，價格已下修超過</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">成，桃園跌幅</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">9.7%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">、新竹跌幅</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">3.2%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">，故房價趨勢由緩跌格局轉為平盤橫向整理，整體而言，</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2018</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年價差應呈現正負</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">小幅震盪的情況。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">整體房價波動不大</span></strong></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">依據《住展》雜誌統計，近</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年新案上半年平均房價，也可觀察出台北市、新北市、新竹價格小幅下修，而桃園市略為上升，但波動不大。《住展》雜誌企研室經理何世昌解析，現在房市處於買方不願意追價，賣方不願意降價，房價就陷入了死魚盤完全僵局的狀況，下半年政府若無對房市有其他直接性政策，應還是處於僵持的價格。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">另外，淡江大學產業經濟系副教授莊孟翰補充，最簡單來看現在房市是房價跌，但租金漲的狀況，說明民眾預期心理還是認為房價會下跌，</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2018</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年還不到觸底，只能說是大</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">U</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">型谷底的開始而已。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: center;"><img src="http://img.appledaily.com.tw//images/twapple/640pix/20180707/PA02/PA02_007.jpg" alt="" /></p> <p>&nbsp;</p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: center;"><img src="http://img.appledaily.com.tw//images/twapple/640pix/20180707/PA02/PA02_008.jpg" alt="" /></p>