雙北蛋黃區 Q2價量俱揚
2018/8/10
<p class="MsoNormal" style="text-align: center;"><a name="OLE_LINK1"></a><span style="font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">聯合晚報【游智文】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">市調顯示，雙北高價區預售房市明顯轉熱，台北市中心五區第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季交易量較上季大增逾</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">倍，平均成交單價也從上季</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">96</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬上升到</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">102</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，重回百萬水準，新北市高價區</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">Q2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">同樣價量俱揚。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">新北</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #002060;"> </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">房價回跌</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #002060;"> </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">換屋族出手</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">住商不動產企研室經理徐佳馨表示，雙北高價區交易回溫原因不同，北市主要是持有稅調降、建商改推低總價自住小宅、以及房價趨穩等三項因素影響；新北市高價區破盤戰雖暫時停火，但因房價回跌不少，吸引換屋族出來揀便宜。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">國泰建設近日發布今年第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季國泰房地產指數，相較首季價量俱揚，全台平均成交價上漲</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2.3%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">，平均成交量增加</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">90%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">雙北市均以高價區表現較亮眼，台北市中心五區首季成交量指數</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">80.2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">，第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季飆升至</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">250.4</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">，大增</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2.1</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">倍；市中心房價也從上季每坪</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">96</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬上升到</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">102</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元，上漲約</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">6%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">新北市高價區包括永和、新店、板橋、中和、三重，第</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">季交易量季增</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">1.9</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">倍，房價每坪漲</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元、</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">7.4%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">，價量表現也均優於中價區以及低價區。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">北市</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #002060;"> </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">減稅效應</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #002060;"> </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">自住宅增</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif; color: #002060;"> </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; color: #002060;">房價趨穩</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">徐佳馨分析，台北市中心交易暴量，主因有三，第一，過去一年來，北市除了調降</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">8000</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬以上高級房屋稅率，也宣布房屋稅基標準單價分六年調漲，市中心房價高，減稅效應大，屋主鬆了口氣，買方也因為持有稅降低，相對較敢出手。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">第二，台北市中心區過去推案產品兩極化，不是豪宅，就是小套房，這兩類產品都不是自住客的菜，銷售自然不佳。這兩三年建商紛紛改產品，以低總價自住型小宅為主，近來陸續完工，產品對了，銷售也跟著增溫。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">第三，也是最重要的一點，這波價格修正從高價區開始，多數買方觀察房價已超過兩年以上，對價格已具敏感性，近期以來價格波動不大，加上低利率、無打房政策等因素，讓剛性買方認為房價再降有限，購屋轉為積極，買氣因此大增。</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img style="text-align: center;" src="https://pgw.udn.com.tw/gw/photo.php?u=https://uc.udn.com.tw/photo/2018/08/10/6/5111693.jpg&x=0&y=0&sw=0&sh=0&sl=W&fw=1050" alt="" /></p>