六都租金大調查 桃園租金最壓抑
2017/6/10
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">自由時報【馮牧群】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">比起這些年房價飛漲的程度,租金變化看似停滯不前,然而,業者統計過去</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年住宅租金走勢發現,六都僅桃園市表現持平,其他地區全面成長,大致與房價呈現相反走勢。專家表示,應是租屋需求增加、房東反映持有成本所致。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">根據台灣房屋彙整實價登錄網站資料,從</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2016</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">Q2</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">到</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2017</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">Q1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">期間,六都當中以台南市的住宅平均租金從每坪</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">501.5</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">元成長至</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">538.6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">元,漲幅約</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">7.3%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">居冠,第</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">名為新北市,租金從每坪</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">659.2</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">元成長為</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">693.9</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">元,漲幅約</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">5.2%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">,租金門檻最高的台北市,租金也微幅上升來到每坪</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">1383.8</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">元;唯獨桃園市的租金行情紋風不動,且每坪單價不及</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">500</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">元,居六都之末。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><strong><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; color: #002060;">台南租金漲幅居冠</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: #002060;" lang="EN-US"> </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; color: #002060;">桃園每坪不到</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: #002060;" lang="EN-US">500</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; color: #002060;">元</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">台灣房屋智庫資深分析師陳炳辰指出,出於房地合一稅實施,房市交易趕輕稅,量能湧現在</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2015</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年底,</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2016</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">第</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">季窒息的移轉量,買盤觀望氛圍濃厚,不少買在高點的賣方感受壓力,又不願賠售,湧現轉售為租的狀況,在租屋量體變大的情況下,租金遂見降幅,特別是房價偏高的北台灣,</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">Q2</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">相較</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">Q1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的平均月租金單價,有</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6.7%~12.2%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">降幅,主因不脫租屋供給放大,比價抑制租金漲幅。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">隨著政府對房市政策態度鬆綁,部分購屋民眾趁盤整時期進場,今年房市逐步走出陰霾,租屋量體回歸正常,租金蠢蠢欲動,相較呈現滑落走勢的</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2016</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">Q2</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">,</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2017</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">Q1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">六都平均月租金單價呈現一致漲勢,陳炳辰分析,北台灣房市尚在乍暖還涼,南台灣已見加溫,屋主風向調整為轉租為售,待租物件縮減自然影響租金上揚。新北市方面,則在於台北市平均租金居高不下,跌幅有限,吸引租屋族群移居,同步拉升租金均價。至於桃園市在去年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">Q2</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的租金季跌幅曾出現</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">12.2%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">,</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2017Q1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">表現僅是持平,主因是餘屋量體過大,賣壓轉而流向租屋市場,租金持續受到平抑。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US"> </span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">天時地利不動產顧問總經理張欣民認為,當房價向下盤整之際,住宅租金呈現成長,可能原因是民眾普遍認為房價仍高,「以租代買」的人變多了,租賃需求增加,房東把行情提高,另一方面,也可能是過去一年房屋持有稅加重的因素,房東悄悄把成本灌進租金。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><strong><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; color: #002060;">用租金與房貸推算</span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: #002060;" lang="EN-US"> </span></strong><strong><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; color: #002060;">決定續租或購屋</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">陳炳辰提醒,新北市、桃園市餘屋過多的重劃區,像是上新莊、淡海新市鎮、青埔特區一帶,房價已經盤整到區域低標;上新莊多有</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">字頭單價物件,淡海、青埔則已多有</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">字頭新成屋,雖租金還算親民,但兩造相較,民眾不妨考慮「由租轉買」。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">要衡量「租不如買」或「買不如租」,專家建議,最簡便的方法是先不計入購屋自備款與未來持有成本,純粹比較目前每月租金及可能負擔房貸金額的絕對值,若租金大於房貸,就屬於「租不如買」,反之屬於「買不如租」,購屋自備款與未來持有成本則會因地而異。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9pt; line-height: 23pt; text-align: center;"><img src="http://img.ltn.com.tw/Upload/house/page/2017/06/09/170609-3211-3-hhvqH.jpg" alt="" /></p>