新北房價反彈 比下北市
2017/7/19
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">經濟日報【郭及天】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">信義房價月指數顯示，新北市房價今年幾乎逐月上揚，</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月房價月增</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">1.4%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">、年減</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">1.8%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">，但台北市房價則呈盤整走勢，房仲業者認為，新北市房價相對低、產品供給面補足自住客需求缺口，使新北市房價今年走強。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">根據最新公布的信義房價大台北月指數顯示，新北市房價月指數自</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2014</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">7</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月達最高點</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">140.88</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">以來，開始下跌，今年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月出現這波反轉以來的低點，不過，今年上半年的六個月中，有五個月出現上漲，</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月房價指數為</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">129.6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">，上半年房價已上漲</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2.7%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。相較於台北市房價自今年以來呈現橫盤整理，新北市房價反彈態勢明顯強於台北市。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">信義房屋企研室專案經理曾敬德表示，大台北高單價、大坪數產品仍供過於求，一般自住產品供需則已漸平衡，從新北市價格反彈可觀察出來，台北市欠缺一般自住需求最旺盛的</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">30</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">至</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">40</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">坪產品新案供給，而新北房價較貼近買方負擔能力，產品供應面亦較符合自住需求，加上房價已有一段修正，相對於台北市，新北市在住宅選擇上替代效果增加，更易於吸引自住客買盤。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">曾敬德表示，大台北房價仍未脫修正格局，</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2015</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年房價下跌最劇烈，</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2016</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年交易量縮幅度最大，不過，量價俱跌的現象在今年起明顯緩和，多家業者針對潛在買方調查均顯示，民眾對房市看法雖保守，但近二年來逐季改善中。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">至於台北市房價，</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月房價指數為</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">116.4</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">，月減</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">0.9%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">、年減</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">3.6%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">，大體而言，台北市房價經過</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2015</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年急跌、</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2016</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年緩跌，今年以來呈現修正後的盤整走勢，今年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月房價水位與</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2015</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月時單月歷史高點相較，約修正</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">12.7%</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。曾敬德認為，預期房價持續盤整，買方對房市信心仍偏悲觀，房價仍欠缺上漲動能。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9pt; line-height: 23pt; text-align: center;"><img src="https://pgw.udn.com.tw/gw/photo.php?u=https://uc.udn.com.tw/photo/2017/07/19/2/3772397.jpg&x=0&y=0&sw=0&sh=0&sl=W&fw=1050&exp=3600&exp=3600" alt="" /></p>