<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">工商時報【孫彬訓】</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">銀行對於房市變化相當敏銳，統計各銀行的最新看法，多認為下半年房價走向，仍是五字訣形容，即是「價跌量微增」的盤整格局。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">合作金庫銀行分析，</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2017</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年上半年房市雖已擺脫</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2016</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年最低迷悲觀的窘境，不過尚未恢復過去應有的水準，展望下半年房市景氣還不適合過度樂觀視之，而在國內總體經濟穩定度尚顯不足，再加上國內交屋潮顯現，短期內市場賣壓仍存在，預估下半年房價還有向下修正的空間，房市價量趨勢為持續盤整修正格局。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">華南銀行認為，房屋貸款利率持續維持低檔，且目前房市以自住客為主，加上考量稅制因素，投資客退場，展望未來，不動產交易仍將取決於買賣雙方對價格的認知。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">彰化銀行強調，展望下半年房市，在房貸利率偏低及國內經濟逐步回穩下，自住型需求已逐漸回籠，預估全年整體房市交易量有望較去年成長，惟在投資房地產賦稅增加下，投資需求恐將持續下滑，各銀行在風險考量下，也已開始緊縮非自用住宅房貸，房價將不易大幅上揚，預估下半年整體房市將呈現量增價盤整格局。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">臺灣銀行指出，從內政部統計資料，今年</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">1</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">～</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">5</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月買賣移轉登記棟數為</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">102,643</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">棟，較去年同期</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">85,958</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">棟，成長</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">19.41</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">％，市場交易量已見回升，後市交易量如能持續維持成長，則房價有機會盤整持穩。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">第一銀行分析，目前房市以「自住客」為主力客群，議價空間變大，預計後市仍將處於價跌量微增的盤整格局。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">台新銀行消費金融處資深協理林彥文分析，房市以自住需求為主，加上房價所得比居高不下，買方態度保守，成交量雖略有回溫，但預期房價仍呈緩跌走勢。</span></p> <p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">老行庫主管說，市場預期，今年房市交易量有反彈機會，房價則上漲不易，未來美國升息趨勢可能帶動國內利率走揚，以及明年地方大選選戰布局對房市的衝擊，將為持續關注的焦點所在。</span></p>