降價風、交屋潮帶動 營建業景氣看法回升
2017/7/25
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">自由時報【馮牧群】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">台灣經濟研究院今日公布</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">7</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月景氣動向調查結果,營建業</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月營業氣候測驗點為</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">90.32</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">點,較</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">5</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月的</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">87.94</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">點上揚</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2.38</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">點,結束先前連續</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">個月下跌轉為回升,專家分析,主要是受到政府公共工程擴張、降價風帶來買盤及交屋潮支撐影響,而有高達</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">8</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">成以上的廠商認為未來半年不動產市場景氣呈現持平。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">根據台經院調查,營建業因公共工程投資的擴張態度明確,加上不動產交屋潮支撐,影響廠商對當月及未來景氣看法。</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月營業氣候測驗點調查結果,製造業、服務業、營建業罕見同步上揚,其中製造業為結束連續</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">5</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">個月下滑後上升;服務業連續</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">4</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">個月上升;營建業則結束連續</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">3</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">個月下滑後轉為上升。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">台經院副研究員劉佩真表示,梅雨鋒面滯留時間拉長造成災情,衍生應急的道路搶修工程、廠辦投資部分開工等因素,都拉抬</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月營造業景氣表現,然而房屋興建及裝修需求仍有一些開工遞延的狀況無法施作,所幸政府公共工程的投資擴張態度明確,使得未來半年營造業景氣可持平視之。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">不動產業方面,劉佩真表示,儘管降價風潮使自住剛性需求發酵,加上交屋潮的支撐,</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">6</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月六都建物買賣移轉件數創下</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: 'Arial',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 微軟正黑體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi;" lang="EN-US">2017</span><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年以來的單月新高,但接下來須留意買賣雙方是否採取「以拖待變」的策略,賣方認為房市將落底,買方終將出籠,甚至近期建案開價緩緩調升,降價幅度縮小,都可能不利於下半年的買賣移轉量表現。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-top: 9.0pt; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph; line-height: 23.0pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly; tab-stops: 6.0cm;"><span style="font-size: 13.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; font-family: '微軟正黑體',sans-serif; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">台經院景氣預測中心主任孫明德分析,房市呈現僵持,端看賣方讓價意願決定能否帶起交易量,突破目前僵局。</span></p>