雙北市中高價住宅去年仍呈跌勢 但成交量放大中
2018/1/23
<p class="MsoNormal"><a name="OLE_LINK1"></a><span style="font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">鉅亨網【張欽發】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">根據內政部實價揭露資料統計,台北市總價</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 4000 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬以上、新北市</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2000 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元以上的房市價量變化,</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2017 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 1-10 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">月成交件數較</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2016 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年同期成長</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 1-2 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">成,住宅單價則呈現小幅下跌,跌幅在</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 3% </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">內。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">此交易狀況相對</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2016 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 1-10 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">月成交件數較</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2015 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年同期衰退高達</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 3 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">成,顯示去年房市已回溫。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">永慶房屋業管部資深經理謝志傑表示,</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2017 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年全球經濟復甦,大環境明顯改善,台股萬點行情續航,都讓消費信心回升,民眾購屋意願增加,不僅是受到首購族群青睞的中低總價住宅交易量回溫,中高總價住宅在市場氣氛轉佳後也有逐步回穩的跡象。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">不過,謝志傑提醒,目前房價仍處於緩跌的階段,讓利仍是觸動買方進場的關鍵主因。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">根據實價揭露統計,台北市總價</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 4000 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元以上中高總價住宅,近</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 3 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年每年前</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 10 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">月交易量,</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2016 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年較</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2015 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年大幅衰退</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 36.6%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">,</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2017 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年則較</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2016 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年同期成長</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 19.9%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">,謝志傑說,</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2016 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年房地合一上路後,短期投資客退出市場,房市由自住客群為主力,交易量能欲大不易,因此,中高總價住宅也受影響,交易量縮,但在央行解除信用管制後,高成數、低利率的優惠房貸吸引有自住需求的民眾進場購屋,讓</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2017 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年交易量回升。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2017 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年台北市中高總價住宅交易熱區,中山區以占比</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 19.1% </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">位居第一,其次是內湖區占比</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 15%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">,大安區則以</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 12.7% </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">排名第三,三區交易量已占全台北市近</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 5 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">成。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">至於住宅單價變化,謝志傑指出,台北市中高總價住宅單價從</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2015 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年的每坪</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 90.2 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元跌至</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2016 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年的</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 84.1 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元,跌幅</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 6.8%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">,</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2017 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年再下跌</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2.6% </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">至每坪</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 81.9 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元,顯示房價並未止跌,只是跌幅收斂,呈現小幅緩跌局面,中高總價住宅也和一般住宅一樣,須讓利才能吸引買方購屋。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">以新北市</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2000 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元以上中高總價住宅交易量統計,</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2016 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年較</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2015 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年減少</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 34%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">,</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US">2017 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年則小幅回升</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 1 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">成,增幅</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 10.6%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">,交易熱區以新莊區、新店區與板橋區名列前三,謝志傑指出,綜合觀察前</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 3 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">名熱門的交易社區包括新莊區新北大道四段的「遠雄新宿」與「遠雄國都」等,新店區中央路的「美河市」、寶橋路</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 78 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">巷的「玉上園」等,板橋區的南雅南路二段「遠揚加州」、華東街的「家傳」與莊敬路「家麒文化」等。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: 23pt; margin-top: 9pt; text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">新北市中高總價住宅單價變化,謝志傑說明,由</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2015 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年每坪</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 46.9 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元跌至</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2016 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 44.3 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元,再到</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 2017 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">年</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 43.5 </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">萬元,跌幅由</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 5.5% </span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">降至</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;" lang="EN-US"> 1.8%</span><span style="font-size: 13pt; font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;">,與台北市一樣都呈現跌勢收斂的狀況。</span></p>
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